Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.000112 0.000124 0.000137 0.000152 0.000168 0.000186 0.000207
2025-11-30 0.000094 0.000110 0.000129 0.000151 0.000178 0.000209 0.000247
2025-12-07 0.000080 0.000099 0.000121 0.000149 0.000185 0.000228 0.000284
2025-12-14 0.000071 0.000092 0.000117 0.000151 0.000196 0.000253 0.000331
2025-12-21 0.000064 0.000085 0.000113 0.000152 0.000205 0.000275 0.000376
2025-12-28 0.000057 0.000079 0.000108 0.000151 0.000211 0.000294 0.000418
2026-01-04 0.000053 0.000075 0.000106 0.000153 0.000221 0.000319 0.000471
2026-01-11 0.000048 0.000071 0.000103 0.000153 0.000229 0.000341 0.000520
2026-01-18 0.000044 0.000067 0.000100 0.000153 0.000235 0.000360 0.000568
2026-01-25 0.000041 0.000063 0.000097 0.000152 0.000240 0.000379 0.000615
2026-02-01 0.000038 0.000060 0.000095 0.000152 0.000247 0.000399 0.000668
2026-02-08 0.000035 0.000057 0.000091 0.000150 0.000250 0.000414 0.000712
2026-02-15 0.000033 0.000054 0.000089 0.000150 0.000255 0.000435 0.000768
2026-02-22 0.000031 0.000052 0.000087 0.000150 0.000262 0.000458 0.000832
2026-03-01 0.000028 0.000049 0.000084 0.000148 0.000266 0.000475 0.000887
2026-03-08 0.000027 0.000048 0.000083 0.000150 0.000276 0.000506 0.000969
2026-03-15 0.000026 0.000046 0.000082 0.000151 0.000283 0.000531 0.001045
2026-03-22 0.000024 0.000044 0.000080 0.000150 0.000287 0.000551 0.001111
2026-03-29 0.000023 0.000043 0.000079 0.000152 0.000298 0.000584 0.001207
2026-04-05 0.000022 0.000042 0.000078 0.000153 0.000305 0.000610 0.001291
2026-04-12 0.000021 0.000040 0.000076 0.000152 0.000310 0.000633 0.001370
2026-04-19 0.000020 0.000038 0.000075 0.000151 0.000314 0.000655 0.001449
2026-04-26 0.000019 0.000037 0.000073 0.000151 0.000320 0.000680 0.001539